Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Jeff Francoeur????!!!

Um...didn't anyone see Jeff Francoeur's downfall coming?

There was an article on SI.com about Jeff Francoeur bouncing back this year. Check it out

The guy swings at EVERYTHING. Everything. He has a career batting average of .268 with a career on base percentage of .312. He has 115 walks in his career. That's less than Barry Roidie Bonds had in 2007 when Barry had 132 (In 477 plate appearances!! That's like a walk per game!!).

Basically, Francoeur is like Juan Pierre with more pop. Well...to be fair, a lot more pop. A lot. His OPS is a respectable .746 despite his terrible OBP. However, this means that a few hits don't fall in for Francoeur (like last year) and he has very little value. Now, last year he had his lowest BABIP of his career at .277 which was below what is generally seen as the average of about .300. But his line drive percent was also the lowest of his career (17%) so maybe he's been getting under a lot of balls and maybe he was out of shape and couldn't muscle as many fly balls out of the park as he used to be able to.

The point of all this, however, is to freaking point out that Francoeur is an undisciplined power hitter who can hit for a pretty average average. Yes, he will probably bounce back from last year and since he's still young, perhaps he'll be able to improve even more. But he's got "young" skills and as he grows older, he won't have anything to fall back upon. He'll be worthless. Oh and he doesn't have that much of a track record either, just a season and a half of good baseball. Even if he's in shape, gets a better BABIP this year, hits for more power, he'll still be fucking mediocre. MEDIOCRE. .746 OPS ain't nothing to write home about. Especially for a corner outfielder.

I feel like this should be well-known. Almost common knowledge. Average is useless. Power is okay...but not without anything else. And if a few balls don't bounce Francoeur's way, he has nothing else.

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